Matzke 2015 Science Paper On The Evolution Of Antievolution
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In this page, I will archive material related to:

Matzke, Nicholas J. (2015). “The evolution of antievolution policies after Kitzmiller v. Dover. Science, 351(6268), 10-12. Published online via ScienceExpress Dec. 17, 2015. doi: 10.1126/science.aad4057

This page is by Nicholas J. Matzke. My ORCid is: http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8698-7656.

Paper and links

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Matzke, Nicholas J. (2015). "The evolution of antievolution policies after Kitzmiller v. Dover." Science, 351(6268), 10-12. Published online via ScienceExpress Dec. 17, 2015. doi: 10.1126/science.aad4057

DOI
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aad4057

Article
http://www.sciencemag.org/content/351/6268/28.short

Supplemental Material
http://www.sciencemag.org/content/351/6268/28/suppl/DC1

Supplemental Material PDF
http://www.sciencemag.org/content/suppl/2015/12/16/science.aad4057.DC1/aad4057_Matzke_SM.pdf

Supplemental Data
http://www.sciencemag.org/content/suppl/2015/12/16/science.aad4057.DC1/aad4057SuppData_S1.zip

Altimetric
http://www.altmetric.com/details/4890264

If you look closely… (thanks Mom for the scan!)

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Free pre-publication version, archived files

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Below are author archives of the paper and Supplemental Materials, as per Science policy. Citations must cite the published reference and DOI, above.

Note that the version of the Supplemental Material posted by Science originally had a corrupted Figure S10 that only partially displayed. The editor says this will be fixed, in the meantime, below is the final submitted Supplemental Material PDF.

I am also including graphics and data files that may be useful for educational, research, or media purposes. I am releasing these under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Author archive of pre-print (unformatted, but includes all revisions post-review)
http://phylo.wikidot.com/local--files/matzke-2015-science-paper-on-the-evolution-of-antievolution/Matzke_2015_Science_aad4057_UNFORMATTED.pdf

Author archive of Supplemental Material
http://phylo.wikidot.com/local--files/matzke-2015-science-paper-on-the-evolution-of-antievolution/Matzke_2015_Science_SuppMat_revFINAL_v7_wRefs.pdf

Main text and Supplemental Material as one PDF
http://phylo.wikidot.com/local--files/matzke-2015-science-paper-on-the-evolution-of-antievolution/Matzke_2015_Science_aad4057_UNFORMATTED_plusSuppMat.pdf

Zipfile of Supplemental Data - I release all of the files I authored under CC BY-SA 4.0; a few files are modified from analysis scripts written by others (e.g., standard TNT macros), and these retain whatever original licenses they had.
http://phylo.wikidot.com/local--files/matzke-2015-science-paper-on-the-evolution-of-antievolution/Matzke_2015_aad4057SuppData_S1.zip

Main Figure

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Tracing the evolution of antievolution legislation. Maximum clade credibility tree from Bayesian tip-dating analysis of 67 policies. The SEAs originated by combining text from the AFAs with Ouachita Parish, Louisiana, policy text from 2006. Seven bills have a high posterior probability of being direct ancestors of the rest of the tradition (circles). The tips of branches reflect the bills' publication dates [except for the DI model bill (see text)]. The nodes (splitting events) represent copying events. The distance between a tip and a node is an inference about how much change occurred and how much time this took. When the node-to-tip distance is effectively zero, this indicates a high probability of direct ancestry. Tip labels indicate AFA or SEA, year, state, bill number (SB, senate bill; HB, house bill), and versions (a, b, or c, for legislative revisions; t or f, teachers or faculty targeted). Branch colors indicate the sciences targeted; mixed colors on a branch indicate uncertainty in the reconstruction. See SM for full details of analyses.

This is the original graphic (derived from Mesquite output) that served as the basis for Figures 1 and S10. This version I release under CC BY-SA 4.0. Various file formats: JPG, PNG, PDF.

A medium-resolution JPG of the main figure, as published in Science, is this file (JPG). It was used in various media sources, presumably given out on by Science's internal press website, I don't know the exact conditions on its re-use, see Science's permissions policy. As far as I have any say, I am happy for it to be re-used for media purposes or nonprofit research/educational purposes, no need to ask me.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) about Matzke (2015)

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Below is the text of an FAQ I developed to answer press questions, but it may be more generally useful. Free to quote/reprint for educational purposes. (I.e., text and figures are CC BY-SA 4.0).

Q1. What does this paper show?

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This paper reconstructs the "phylogenetic tree," or "phylogeny," of the evolution of antievolution legislation in the U.S. from 2004 to the present.

Like a family tree, it shows the relationships of proposed antievolution bills. In some cases, statistical methods were used to infer which bills were the parents (sources) of later bills.

Q2. Wait, there's still antievolution legislation being proposed in the U.S.?

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Yes, and sometimes it's successful, as in Louisiana in 2008 and Tennessee in 2012.

This study built a phylogenetic tree of passed and proposed antievolution bills. The tree shows a version of the Tennessee bill was copied to many other states. The Tennessee law was copied from text originating in Louisiana in 2008, and the Louisiana bill and many others are modified copies from bills proposed in Alabama in 2004-2005, combined with text passed in Ouachita Parish, Louisiana, in 2006.

Q3. What's a phylogenetic tree?

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A phylogenetic tree, or phylogeny, is a graphical representation of copying relationships.

Phylogenies are typically used in evolutionary biology: In any species, the DNA sequences of one generation are copied to the next generation (just as your parents' DNA was copied to your DNA). A population or species through time is called a "lineage."

DNA copying is not exact (because mutations occur every generation), so lineages will gradually change as mutations accumulate. This is evolution: "descent with modification," as Darwin put it.

When a lineage splits — one population becomes two — then the new populations can evolve independently. In biology, this is called "speciation." In a phylogenetic tree, speciation is represented by the splitting branches.

Not all phylogenies are based on DNA. Some studies use fossils and "coded characters" that describe the shape and characteristics of the fossils. For example, absence or presence of a tail might be coded as 0 or 1.

Q4. What's different about the phylogeny in this paper?

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In this paper, instead of tracking the copying and modification of DNA and the splitting of DNA lineages, what is being tracked is the copying and modification of the text of legislative proposals.

Splitting events on this phylogeny represent production of a new version of a bill. The "tips" of the tree represent the dates of the actual published versions in state legislatures.

Interestingly, the same phylogenetics software (BEAST) can be used for both traditional DNA analyses and for this "phylomemetics" study.

Q5. How do I read a phylogeny?

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This is described in FAQ Figure 1:

how_to_read_a_phylo.png

Q6. What's the big deal about "direct ancestors?" Don't all studies of evolution and fossils deal with ancestors?

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This is answered in FAQ Figure 2:

direct_ancestors.png

Q7. Does inference of direct ancestors mean that we will start to see scientific papers claiming that fossil species X is a direct ancestor of living species Y?

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Probably! But keep in mind that the methods are new. In the case of bill texts, the entire history has gone on during human lifetimes (although some of it may have been hidden from public view), and we think that we have all of the bills that were published in legislative sessions.

The case of fossils is much more complicated, because we usually don't think we have collected all of the fossil species that existed, and because there are many biases in where fossils get preserved and discovered. Still, in "ideal" situations, we may be able to detect direct ancestors with high confidence.

The statement "high confidence" is key. Keep in mind that all of science is about estimation, not finding the exact perfect truth with 100% confidence. These phylogenetic methods are Bayesian, which means they assign probabilities to hypotheses. So the result they produce will be conditional probabilities, for example, "fossil X is the direct ancestor of fossil Y with 92% probability, given the data and the assumptions of the statistical model."

How high of a probability is "good enough" is a question readers must decide for themselves.

Q8. What's phylomemetics?

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"Phylomemetics" is the application of phylogenetics to memes. The term "meme" was invented by Richard Dawkins in the 1970s (The Selfish Gene, 1976), and refers to a cultural object that gets copied and modified in the culture. When memes are relatively long and stable (as with legislative bill texts), there is enough information to use phylogenetic methods to reconstruct their history.

Q9. Okay, we have the phylogenetic history of creationist bills. What does that tell us?

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The paper shows the origin of a now-common tactic in antievolutionist language: laws encouraging "critical analysis" of not just evolution and origin-of-life studies, but also of "human cloning" and "global warming." This linkage of all four topics was introduced in a 2006 school board policy adopted in Ouachita Parish, Louisiana ("Ouachita" is pronounced "Wa-shuh-tah").

This combination proved popular, and legislative bills using this tactic have since been proposed in many states, and were passed in Louisiana in 2008 and Tennessee in 2012.

Figure 1 of the Science paper also shows which bills are estimated to be direct ancestors of the rest of the tradition with greater than 90% probability (circles). For example, it looks like the entire tradition after 2005 descends from a series of bills proposed in Alabama in 2004 and 2005.

Other, more technical results in the paper (described in the Supplemental Material), include:

  • The creationist bills have a very strong "phylogenetic signal," meaning they have strong evidence of "descent with modification," compared to null models with no phylogenetic signal. This suggests that the evolution of these bills was dominated by copying and modifying bills one-by-one, rather than continual mixing (the merger of the "Academic Freedom" Acts and the Ouachita policy is the major exception).
  • Estimating the date of the Discovery Institute Model Bill. In addition to estimating a phylogeny from the data, the method can estimate the dates of texts, if their dates are considered unknown. This analysis put the date of the Discovery Institute's Model Bill as most likely in early 2006, rather than the published date of fall 2007.
  • Diversification shifts: Certain parts of the tree show statistical "bursts" in diversification (the stars in Figure S11). These probably represent periods when many new bills were being proposed, copying and modifying from one or a few sources.
  • Character histories. Just as Figure 1 shows which scientific topics are targeted by various policies, and how this trait evolved over time, the same analysis can be done for any other text segment of interest. These are available in Supplemental Data or PDFs.

Q10. It's ironic to say "creationism evolves," but creationism hasn't been in the news in the United States for a while, and in other countries this issue seems very strange. What's the big picture?

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The United States has had several major waves of opposition to the teaching of evolution in biology classrooms in public (government-funded) schools. This opposition has always primarily come from conservative religious traditions that believe evolution contradicts a straightforward reading of the Bible.

Of course, there are many religious traditions, and many ways of reading the Bible. When one group tries to get their religious view favoured by the government, the arguments (and sometimes lawsuits) begin, because the First Amendment to the U.S. Constitution states that the government "shall make no law respecting establishment of religion."

Therefore, there have been several major court battles over the teaching of evolution and attempts to ban the teaching of evolution, balance the teaching of evolution with a supposed creationist alternative, or to belittle evolution as scientifically controversial. Over time, the creationists reacted to court defeats by adopting new strategies, with modern "stealth creationist" legislation being the latest.

There is a very short summary in FAQ Table 1. For more, please see Table S1 in the Supplementary Material in the Science article, and the discussion and references in the text.

FAQ_Table1.png

Notably, the Seattle-based Discovery Institute was a major promoter of "intelligent design," but especially after the defeat of intelligent design in Kitzmiller v. Dover almost exactly ten years ago (the case was decided December 20, 2005), the DI has promoted third-wave policies.

Q11. Why do these bills matter?

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If enacted, these bills would require or encourage teachers to misrepresent science — to present creationist arguments against evolution and climate change denier arguments against global warming — in the classroom. They also prevent administrators from doing anything about it. We already know that 1 in 8 high school biology teachers present creationism as scientifically credible; these bills would worsen the situation.

Q12. In addition to the author, who else can I contact to discuss the science and/or the science education issues raised in this article?

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The best source for background information, legislation updates, and contacts on the topics of evolution and climate education is the National Center for Science Education (NCSE). NCSE maintains the legislation database that this work was based on, and it has hundreds of contacts in the science and science education communities, as well as in-house experts ready to answer media questions. Contact: Robert Luhn, Director of Communications at moc.escn|nhul#moc.escn|nhul

Website: www.ncse.com

Another good resource is Zack Kopplin's article in Slate in April 2015:

Kopplin, Z. (2015). "Dismissing Darwin." Slate. April 21 2015.
http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2015/04/creationism_in_louisiana_public_school_science_classes_school_boards_and.html

Other graphics

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Below are phylogenetic "character maps" for all 418 characters and 15 traits I examined in this study. A character "map" is a proposed history of a character on a phylogeny. Many example character map graphics are on Google Images. Here, I did parsimony character mapping (a simple method that should work reasonably well on this dataset, see Supplemental Material; of course others are welcome to explore other methods).

All of these character maps can be re-generated by loading up the relevant NEXUS files from the Supplemental Data in the free phylogenetics program Mesquite. There are brief instructions in the Supplemental Data. Please note, however, that the purpose of this Supplemental Data is to archive data and code for future researchers, it is not intended to be a teach-phylogenetics-from-scratch-to-beginners resource. Becoming competent with phylogenetic methods requires decent computer skills, and serious coursework (or, minimally, workshops; Bodega Bay and Woods Hole phylogenetics workshops are well-known ones; and there are many online tutorials for Mesquite and other programs).

Note: Character maps represent an estimate of the history of a particular character on a particular phylogeny. They are not an assertion of the One True Absolutely Certain History, although they should usually be a good approximation. (Similar thinking applies to the phylogeny itself.) For an introduction to some of the issues, see Biogeographical Stochastic Mapping and the technical literature on character mapping and stochastic mapping. In addition, the program Mesquite (used to make these character map graphics) makes some graphing decisions that should not be taken literally, e.g. when it extends an ancestral state far below the ancestral node of any tips with data in the tree. This sort of thing is automatically discounted by researchers, but might confuse beginners.

PDF of character maps for characters 1-111 on the Matzke (2015) phylogeny of antievolution bills. These are the "presence-absence" characters.
http://phylo.wikidot.com/local--files/matzke-2015-science-paper-on-the-evolution-of-antievolution/Matzke_2015_SuppData_charmaps_001-111_text_segment_presence_absence_cropped.pdf

PDF of character maps for characters 112-418 on the Matzke (2015) phylogeny of antievolution bills. These are the "variations when present" characters.
http://phylo.wikidot.com/local--files/matzke-2015-science-paper-on-the-evolution-of-antievolution/Matzke_2015_SuppData_charmaps_112-418_variants_when_text_segment_present_cropped.pdf

PDF of character maps for 15 traits of interest on the Matzke (2015) phylogeny of antievolution bills. Note: as described in Supplemental Material, here, by "characters" I refer to the data (418 discrete characters) used in the estimation of the phylogeny, and by "traits" I mean other features of interest (15 of them) that were either not used in the phylogeny (such as geographical state of origin), or that are extracted or modified from the character matrix to show interesting features, such as strategies. Trait map #14 is the basis for Figure 1, and combines several traits.
http://phylo.wikidot.com/local--files/matzke-2015-science-paper-on-the-evolution-of-antievolution/Matzke_2015_SuppData_traits_1-15_cropped.pdf

Phys.org video
There is a low-res video for the trait maps in the Phys.org news story: http://phys.org/news/2015-12-evolutionary-biologists-political-opposition-evolution.html ; the low-resolution is due to a size and format limits on the file I could provide to the media program at Science.

All character and trait maps in one PDF. May be useful for making e.g. animations.
http://phylo.wikidot.com/local--files/matzke-2015-science-paper-on-the-evolution-of-antievolution/Matzke_2015_SuppData_all_traits_chars_cropped.pdf

Ancestral "states" analysis

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An ancestral state reconstruction of ancestral states:

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An ancestral state reconstruction of ancestral states. (PNG, PDF)

Media

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Matzke, Nick (2016). "Creationism Evolves." Australasian Science, 37(3), 14-16, April 2016.
http://www.australasianscience.com.au/article/issue-april-2016/creationism-evolves.html

Shapiro, Adam R. (2016). Creationism’s Future After No Child Left Behind. Religion & Politics. February 16, 2016.
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Winston, Kimberly (2016). Darwin Day notwithstanding, evolution debate keeps, well, evolving. Religion News Service. February 11, 2016.
http://www.religionnews.com/2016/02/11/darwin-day-notwithstanding-evolution-debate-keeps-well-evolving/

Anderson, Michael (2016). "Creationism: Adaptive Thanatosis in Interstellar Co-evolution." Talk at the Bad Ad Hoc Hypothesis Festival, January 22, 2016. London, England. http://bahfest.com 1:16:10
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ouvum33yE4Y&feature=youtu.be&t=4579

Benen, Steve (2016). This Week in God, 1.2.16. MSNBC. January 2, 2016. http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/week-god-1216

Kopplin, Zack (2015). Creationism Whistleblower: 'Academic Freedom' Is Sneak Attack on Evolution. The Daily Beast. December 28, 2015.
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2015-12-19_Vocativ_how_to_annoy_creationist_evo_antievo_phylo.png

Villatoro, Francisco R. (2015). La teoría de la evolución aplicada a la legislación antievolucionista. La Ciencia de la Mula Francis. December 28, 2015.
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Morin, Hervé (2015). Darwin, itinéraire d’un humaniste. Le Monde. December 22, 2015.
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Anonymous (2015). Die Verteidigung des Schöpfers. Der Standard. December 20th, 2015.
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Prothero, Don R. (2015). "MERRY KITZMAS! The 10th Anniversary of the Dover Decision and the Demise of Intelligent Design." Skeptic December 23, 2015.
http://www.skeptic.com/reading_room/demise-of-intelligent-design/
https://twitter.com/NickJMatzke/status/679669098612043776

Gross, Rachel E. (2015). How Anti-Evolution Bills Have Evolved: Creationists provide an example of descent with modification. Slate. December 22, 2015.
http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2015/12/ anti_evolution_bills_to_teach_creationism_have_evolved.html

Jones, Sarah (2015). Growth Industry: New Study Illustrates How Creationist Tactics Keep Evolving. Wall of Separation, Americans United for Separation of Church and State. December 22, 2015.
https://www.au.org/blogs/wall-of-separation/growth-industry-new-study-illustrates-how-creationist-tactics-keep-evolving

Doctorow, Cory (2015). The evolution of anti-evolution bills. BoingBoing. December 22, 2015.
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Gupta, Kanika (2015). Pro-creationism Laws in Evolution Education Tracked by US Study. Counsel & Heal. December 22, 2015. http://www.counselheal.com/articles/17842/20151222/pro-creationism-laws-evolution-u-s-tracked-study.htm

Kent, Bill (2015). How Creationism Has Transformed Since The Dover Trial. Echo Examiner. December 21, 2015.
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Luntz, Stephen (2015). The Evolution Of Anti-Evolutionary Legislation. IFLScience. December 20, 2015
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https://twitter.com/NickJMatzke/status/679683585125650432

Jaffe, Eric (2015). The Evolution of Teaching Creationism in Public Schools. The Atlantic. December 20, 2015.
http://www.theatlantic.com/education/archive/2015/12/the-evolution-of-teaching-creationism-in-public-schools/421197/
https://twitter.com/NickJMatzke/status/678857976690552833

Matzke, Nicholas (2015). Interview on 666 ABC Canberra, Breakfast with Philip Clark. Australian Broadcasting Corporation. December 21, 2015, 7:30 a.m. http://ab.co/666live http://www.abc.net.au/canberra/ https://twitter.com/NickJMatzke/status/678669055822135296

Mirsky, Steve (2015). Evolution Still on Trial, 10 Years After Dover. Science Talk, Scientific American podcasts. December 20, 2015
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Farrell, John (2015). How Creationism Has Evolved Since The Dover Trial. Forbes. December 20, 2015.
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Mcghee, Rebecca (2015). "US Anti-Evolution Efforts Evolve In The Same Way Species Do." Capital Wired. December 19, 2015.
http://www.capitalwired.com/us-anti-evolution-efforts-evolve-in-the-same-way-species-do/211375/

Courtney, Ray (2015). Creationists are trying to take a place in science. Daily Albany. December 19, 2015
http://www.albanydailystar.com/education/creationists-are-trying-to-take-a-place-in-science-14517.html

Gorman, Nicole (2015). Father, Son Sue School Board for Not Teaching About Darwin. Education World. December 21, 2015.
http://www.educationworld.com/a_news/father-son-sue-school-board-not-teaching-about-darwin-evolution-525427161

Anonymous (2015). Science used to trace how creationist anti-evolution tactics have evolved. Stuff.co.nz. December 19 2015.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/world/75298064/science-used-to-trace-how-creationist-antievolution-tactics-have-evolved

Parker, Jameson (2015). Scientist Studies Evolution of Anti-Evolution Bills, Finds They Aren’t Intelligently Designed. WinningDemocrats. December 18, 2015.
http://winningdemocrats.com/scientist-studies-evolution-of-anti-evolution-bills-finds-they-arent-intelligently-designed/

Mirsky, Steve (2015). Anti-Evolution Legislation Shows Descent With Modification. Scientific American, "60-second science" Podcast. December 18, 2015.
http://www.scientificamerican.com/podcast/episode/anti-evolution-legislation-shows-descent-with-modification/

Aamir, Sumayah (2015). How Anti-Evolution Bills Evolve in US? I4U News. December 18, 2015.
http://www.i4u.com/2015/12/101397/how-anti-evolution-bills-evolve-us

Hall, Natalia (2015). Pro-Creationism Laws in US Focuses on Making Classrooms Safe for Creationism. Northern Californian. December 18, 2015.
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Anonymous (2015). Evolution of pro-creationism laws in the U.S. tracked. Voice Chronicle
http://www.voicechronicle.com/124117-18-evolution-of-pro-creationism-laws-in-the-u-s-tracked/

Feltman, Rachel (2015). Science used to trace how creationst anti-evolution tactics have evolved. Brisbane Times. December 19, 2015.
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/world/creationism-and-the-sneaky-way-antievolution-tactics-have-evolved-in-the-us-20151218-glrga6.html

Feltman, Rachel (2015). Science used to trace how creationst anti-evolution tactics have evolved. Sydney Morning-Herald. December 19, 2015.
http://www.smh.com.au/world/creationism-and-the-sneaky-way-antievolution-tactics-have-evolved-in-the-us-20151218-glrga6.html

Brown, Jennings (2015). Science Hero Made An Evolutionary Diagram Of Anti-Evolution Laws. Vocativ. December 19, 2015.
http://www.vocativ.com/news/262022/evolutionary-of-anti-evolution-laws/
https://twitter.com/NickJMatzke/status/678128329304629248

Anonymous (2015). God versus nature debate continues between creationism and evolution. Web India, December 18, 2015.
http://news.webindia123.com/news/Articles/India/20151218/2750090.html

Anonymous (2015). How anti-evolution bills evolve. ScienceCodex. December 18, 2015.
http://www.sciencecodex.com/how_antievolution_bills_evolve-172142

Kaplan, Karen (2015). Study tracks the evolution of pro-creationism laws in the U.S. Los Angeles Times, December 17, 2015
http://www.latimes.com/science/sciencenow/la-sci-sn-evolution-of-creationism-in-schools-20151217-story.html

National Center for Science Education (2015). Matzke's Kitzmas tree! NCSE Science League of America blog. December 17th, 2015
http://ncse.com/news/2015/12/matzkes-kitzmas-tree-0016809
https://twitter.com/NickJMatzke/status/677726945530896384

Collins, Nathan (2015). The Evolution of Anti-Evolution Laws: A biologist uses Darwin's theory to understand the history of creationist "academic freedom" and "science education" laws. Pacific Standard. December 17th, 2015
http://www.psmag.com/politics-and-law/the-evolution-of-anti-evolution-laws

ANU (2015). How anti-evolution bills evolve. Science News. December 17, 2015.
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/12/151217151641.htm

Al-Khatib, Talal (2015). How Anti-Evolution Policies Evolve. Discovery News.
http://news.discovery.com/human/evolution/how-anti-evolution-policies-evolve-151217.htm
https://twitter.com/NickJMatzke/status/677729336976277504

Resnick, Brian (2015). How creationist legislation has evolved, in one chart. Vox. December 17, 2015.
http://www.vox.com/science-and-health/2015/12/17/10434458/creationism-is-evolving
https://twitter.com/NickJMatzke/status/677728094313025536

Jaffe, Eric (2015). How the Fight to Teach Creationism in Public Schools Has … Evolved. The Atlantic CityLab. December 17, 2015. http://www.citylab.com/politics/2015/12/creationism-evolution-darwin-intelligent-design-public-school-science/420825/

Timmer, John (2015). Descent with modification applies to misguided bills, too. ArsTechnica. December 17, 2015.
http://arstechnica.com/science/2015/12/an-evolutionary-analysis-of-anti-evolution-legislation/

Feltman, Rachel (2015). How have anti-evolution tactics evolved over time? They've gotten sneakier. Washington Post. December 17, 2015.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/speaking-of-science/wp/2015/12/17/how-have-anti-evolution-tactics-evolved-over-time-theyve-gotten-sneakier/?wprss=rss_health-science

Anonymous (2015). Evolutionary biologists have analyzed political opposition to evolution and found it has evolved. Phys.org. December 17, 2015.
http://phys.org/news/2015-12-evolutionary-biologists-political-opposition-evolution.html
https://twitter.com/NickJMatzke/status/677737844044005376

Salas, Javier (2015). Darwin destapa las tretas legales de los enemigos de la evolucion.
http://elpais.com/elpais/2015/12/17/ciencia/1450308758_163091.html

Anonymous (2015). How Anti-Evolution Legislation Has Evolved. Science 2.0. December 17th 2015
http://www.science20.com/news_articles/how_antievolution_legislation_has_evolved-162240

ANU (2015). How anti-evolution bills evolve. The Australian National University, via EurekAlert. December 17, 2015.
http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2015-12/anu-hab121615.php

Crawley, Catherine (2015). NIMBioS Study Shows Ancestral Relationships of Modern Creationist Legislation. Tennessee Today.
December 17, 2015
http://tntoday.utk.edu/2015/12/17/nimbios-study-shows-ancestral-relationships-modern-creationist-legislation/
https://twitter.com/NickJMatzke/status/677708878268784645

Crawley, Catherine (2015). The Evolution of Antievolution Policies: Study shows ancestral relationships of modern creationist legislation. NIMBioS Blog. December 17, 2015
http://www.nimbios.org/press/FS_antievolution
https://twitter.com/NickJMatzke/status/677726559399051264

Blogs

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Goldsmith, Greg (2016). The Phylomemetics of Creationism and Intelligent Design. A Few Thoughts blog, January 23, 2016.
http://www.gregrgoldsmith.com/a-few-thoughts/the-phylomemetics-of-creationism-and-intelligent-design

Branch, Glenn (2015). NCSE Evolution and Climate Education Update for 2015/12/25. December 25, 2015.
http://www.antievolution.org/cs/ncse_20151225

Matzke, Nicholas (2015). Zack Kopplin interviews former Discovery Institute employee. Talk.Origins newsgroup, December 28, 2015.
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!topic/talk.origins/A10AjaEGUIc

Anonymous (2015). Scientist Studies Evolution Of Anti-Evolution Bills, Finds They Aren’t Intelligently Designed. alt.politics.liberalism newsgroup. December 27, 2015.
https://groups.google.com/d/msg/alt.politics.liberalism/QKUvuV-G-68/jnebu4k4DgAJ

Shallit, Jeffrey (2015). Merry Kitzmas! December 20, 2015
http://recursed.blogspot.com/2015/12/merry-kitzmas.html

The Discovery Institute's Michael Egnor takes John West's accusation and ups it to "criminal misuse of public funds":

2015-12-23_at_6.48.03%20am_Egnor_accuses_Matzke_criminal2.png

mregnor said…
@NickM:

You should be less concerned about me, and more concerned about criminal misuse of public funds intended for scientific research to advance a political agenda.

http://www.evolutionnews.org/2015/12/did_nick_matzke101761.html

9:48 AM, December 22, 2015

…Quite a bit of of drama for a paper that took a few weeks to do.

Thomas, Dave (2015). "The evolution of antievolution policies after Kitzmiller v. Dover, New Mexico Version." December 20, 2015.
http://www.nmsr.org/matzkestudy.htm

Givnish, Tom (2015). Wisconsin Botany, public Facebook post. December 20, 2015.
https://www.facebook.com/UniversityofWisconsinbotany/posts/10153489818228999?__mref=message_bubble

Braterman, Paul (2015). The evolution of creationism; Kitzmiller 10 years on. Primate's Progress.
https://paulbraterman.wordpress.com/2015/12/19/the-evolution-of-creationism-kitzmiller-10-years-on/

Carlson, Dave (2015). The Discovery Institute versus Nick Matzke. The Skeptical Zone. December 19, 2015.
http://theskepticalzone.com/wp/the-discovery-institute-versus-nick-matzke/

Talk.Origins discussion: Bonus material on The Evolution of Antievolution Policies After Kitzmiller v. Dover
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!topic/talk.origins/AX0t6O1MJNQ

Creationist reaction on the thread was interesting:

2015-12-22_Steady_Eddie_jail_for_Nick1.png
2015-12-22_Steady_Eddie_jail_for_Nick2.png

Steady Eddie wrote on talk.origins on Dec 22 (17 hours ago):

On Monday, 21 December 2015 13:57:26 UTC-7, Nick Matzke wrote:

Though you are a coward, you are no fool - you know when to cut and run.

[…]

Your receiving taxpayer's money in publishing this PROPAGANDA PIECE is unconscionable.
You're a political activist, disguised in a lab coat, misappropriating public funds to advertise your political
agenda.
You belong in prison, in my opinion.

…so much for advocacy of "academic freedom."

Elsberry, Wes (2015). After the Bar Closes Discussion Board. December 18, 2015.
http://www.antievolution.org/cgi-bin/ikonboard/ikonboard.cgi?act=ST;f=14;t=7198;st=660#entry250367

Matzke, Nicholas J. (2015). Bonus material on Matzke 2015 Science Paper On The Evolution Of Antievolution. December 19, 2015.
http://pandasthumb.org/archives/2015/12/bonus-material.html

Mehta, Hemant (2015). New Paper Shows How Creationist Legislation, Ironically, Evolves Over Time. December 19, 2015.
http://www.patheos.com/blogs/friendlyatheist/2015/12/19/new-paper-shows-how-creationist-legislation-ironically-evolves-over-time/

Anonymous (2015). The evolution of anti-evolution bills. Firesaw. December 22, 2015
https://firesaw.wordpress.com/2015/12/22/the-evolution-of-anti-evolution-bills/

Rosenau, Josh (2015). It's Kitzmas Time Again, Charlie Darwin. NCSE Science League of America blog. December 17, 2015.
http://ncse.com/blog/2015/12/it-s-kitzmas-time-again-charlie-darwin-0016813

Myers, Paul Z. (2015). Taking a phylogenetic approach to the law. Pharyngula. December 18, 2015.
http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2015/12/18/taking-a-phylogenetic-approach-to-the-law/

  • PZ Myers makes some very worthwhile points regarding researcher freedom to explore new areas. I would add that everyone in science knows that much of the best creative science takes the form of "side projects."

Matzke, Nicholas (2015). Discovery Institute: So much for Academic Freedom! December 18, 2015. http://pandasthumb.org/archives/2015/12/discovery-insti-11.html

  • My response to John West

Senusous Curmudgeon (2015). John West Is Angry at Nick Matzke. December 18, 2015.
https://sensuouscurmudgeon.wordpress.com/2015/12/18/john-west-is-angry-at-nick-matzke/

Uncommon Descent Blog (2015). Do the Australians know what they’re getting, with Nick Matzke? December 18, 2015.
http://www.uncommondescent.com/intelligent-design/do-the-australians-know-what-theyre-getting-with-nick-matzke/

  • This is an ID blog. For a sense of their attitude towards me, check out this comment from December 15. Hint: by "Down Under", he doesn't mean Australia.

West, John (2015). Did Nick Matzke Misuse National Science Foundation Money Intended to Fund Science Research? December 17, 2015.
http://www.evolutionnews.org/2015/12/did_nick_matzke101761.html

  • Note: late at night Seattle time, Thursday, December 17, the Discovery Institute's first comment on this paper was published by John West, Vice-President of the Discovery Institute. Instead of reviewing my paper in any detail, or attempting to understand the methods and the inference questions involved, West chose to try to "get me in trouble" with funding agencies by suggesting improper conduct. This is ridiculous on its face — this is a work of phylogenetics, all of my research is connected to phylogenetic methods, and the grants I have been supported by (I am not a PI on any of time) had me on them for work in phylogenetic methods, specifically Bayesian methods, and with one of the goals being the incorporation of fossils. I posted a longer response at The Panda's Thumb, above. I do think this is indicative of the kinds of anti-science shenanigans that antievolutionists and global warming deniers regularly attempt to pull on scientists, in order to try to suppress science they don't like, and to harass scientists they don't like. I strongly believe that scientists have to immediately stand up to these cheap attempts to bully scientists, which, ironically, are an actual threat to Academic Freedom, and that scientists should always be ready to explain why their work is in the public interest. Ignoring these bullying attempts only provokes more of them.

Matzke, Nicholas (2015). The evolution of antievolution policies after Kitzmiller v. Dover. December 17, 2015.
http://pandasthumb.org/archives/2015/12/the-evolution-o-9.html

Less-than intelligent design

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Phylogenetics in biology does not depend on the randomness of mutations — the only key assumptions are that changes are inherited, the characters are at least somewhat independent, and that the rate of change isn't so fast (compared to the rate of copying) that the signal of ancestry is totally obscured. In morphological phylogenetics, probably many of the character changes are due to natural selection favoring certain variants, instead of random mutations that are then randomly fixed via genetic drift.

So, the difference between the editing process in biology, versus in memes, is one of the disanalogies between meme evolution and biological evolution. As noted above, phylogenetics works either way. All that said, it is interesting to note that there are some instances of edits to the antievolution bill tradition that seem less-than-intelligent, even from the point of view of their advocates. Here are two:

Example 1

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2004_AL_HB391a.txt:

This bill would also expressly provide that a public school student or student at an institution of higher education may not be penalized for subscribing to a particular position on origins if the student demonstrates acceptable understanding of course materials.

2004_AL_SB336a.txt

In addition, students are not expressly provided a right to a position on biological or physical origins.

2005_AL_SB240.txt

In addition, students are not expressly provided a right to a position on scientific views.

2006_AL_HB106.txt

In addition, students are not expressly provided a right to positions on views.

My question: What does "positions on views" even mean? Any views? Views on bubble-gum? What?

Example 2

(link to this section)

2011_TN_HB368b.txt:

(2) The teaching of some scientific subjects required to be taught under the curriculum framework developed by the state board of education may cause debate and disputation including, but not limited to, biological evolution, the chemical origins of life, global warming, and human cloning; and

(3) Some teachers may be unsure of the expectation concerning how they should present information when debate and disputation occur on such subjects; now, therefore,

2012_MT_HB183.txt:

(b) truth in education about claims over scientific discoveries, including but not limited to biological evolution, the chemical origins of life, random mutation, natural selection, DNA, and fossil discoveries, can cause controversy; and
(c) some teachers may be unsure of the expectations concerning how they should present information on these subjects.

2015_MT_HB321.txt:

(b) truth in education about claims over scientific discoveries, including but not limited to biological evolution, the chemical origins of life, random mutation, natural selection, DNA, and fossil discoveries, can cause controversy; and
(c) some teachers may be unsure of the expectations concerning how they should present information on these subjects.

2015_IN_SB562.txt:

(2) some scientific subjects, such as, but not limited to, human cloning, may produce differing conclusions and theories supported by noted experts on some topics within those subjects; and
(3) some teachers may be unsure of the expectations concerning how the teachers should present information and evidence on these topics.

My question: What are the "conclusions and theories" on human cloning? Basically, everyone agrees: No one has cloned a human, and no one should. It's not even a moral "controversy" on its own terms. And, the few claims about human cloning having been performed (from e.g. Raelians) are not credible, so that's not a controversy, either.

And, even if there was a meaningful "controversy" over human cloning, it's still not appropriate to drag evolution and global warming into that alleged "controversy". One could argue that these are social-political controversies, but the legislative bills portray these topics as scientifically controversial, which is inaccurate, and misleads introductory biology students.

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